6 breakout candidates for the 2023 NFL season

6 breakout candidates for the 2023 NFL season

Yahoo Sports

This piece takes four topical fantasy football articles 4for4.com It highlights names that are ready to exceed expectations compared to Yahoo ADP.

You can read the full articles at 4 vs 4: quarterback | running backs | Receivers | narrow ends

The theme of quarterback acceleration is big again this season, which brings us to Anthony Richardson, the player with the most boom or bust you’ll find anywhere on the draft board. The Indianapolis Colts have made a total of 180 at quarterback after running out of gnomes and their top picks in Philip Rivers, Carson Wentz, Nick Foles, and Matt Ryan (among others) over the past few years. They spent the fourth overall pick of the 2023 NFL Draft on one of the most athletic players we’ve ever seen enter the league, let alone the quarterback position.

Despite completing less than 55% of his passes during his one-and-a-half year college seasons, the Colts have paid their chips in Richardson’s rushing and game abilities.

In his 2022 season as a Florida Gator, Richardson ran for 713 yards on 97 carries, gaining 3.56 yards after connection per attempt and leading the QB draft class with 39 tackles. as a reference point, Justin Fields He led all NFL quarterbacks with 38 broken tackles over 15 games last season. Since 2018, seven starters who started at least 10 games and ran more than 50 times throughout their senior season have been drafted. This sample of players scored 15.9 fantasy points per game, with the above fields (10.57 PPG) scoring the lowest and Justin Herbert Scored the most points (22.19 PPG).

This wide range of results perfectly describes the wide range of possibilities for Richardson in 2023.

Where Richardson may lack precision in goal-setting at this point in his career, he makes up for it in a crucial aspect that most rookies lack once out of the gate; Avoid the bags. Despite ranking sixth in pressing running back rate among the 33 draft-eligible players in 2022, he has been sacked only 13 times, which is the seventh-lowest mark. His ability to extend plays would be well received by big-bodied outside receivers Michael Bateman Jr And Alec Pearceas well as a fellow rookie Josh Downsconsidered a deep-goal slot option after finishing second in the FBS by converting 64.7% of his 2022 deep targets (over 20 yards) into receptions.

Richardson has a lot of ways to short it as a real and fictional asset during his rookie season, but he was already named to the starting team and will be in the 13th round (122.7 ADP). His upside to jumping into the top echelon of fantasy quarterbacks will come by finishing among the league leaders in rushing for the position. – Edwards

Alexander Matteson, Vikings

Perhaps the most obvious candidate heading into the 2023 season, Alexander Mathison numbers to fill in most of the squad Dalvin Cook The role, which has historically produced very high back touching posts. With Cook’s release, the Vikings have lost the third-highest touchdown percentage (74%) and sixth-highest touchdown percentage from the five-yard line (60%) from last season, not to mention a whopping 56 goals. This season wasn’t far behind, as the late three seasons saw Cook’s 23.8 chances (holder plus goals) per game, regularly among the highest scores in the league.

our RB13’s current standings It takes into account that Matteson may not be quite the same level player that Cook was in his prime, but the 61.0 Yahoo ADP underestimates his talent a lot.

A look per Connor Allen Matteson’s fictional value In the post-Cook world, the incumbent outperformed Cook in the EPA per carry last season winning 8.1% to Cook’s 4.5%. Over the past two seasons, Cook has made 28 broken up tackles. Mattison has just eight fewer broken tackles despite carrying the ball 305 fewer times. In six career starts (two in 2020, four in 2021), Matteson has four games with at least 19.9 half-PPR fantasy points. The usual byline for RB1 week is somewhere around the 15.0 range, and last year’s RB1 total (Austin, thank you) averaged 18.8 points per game (PPG).

Even if he were to give up more contact stake than Cook did – which admittedly is possible – the talent behind him in a talented offense consisted of Ken Nwango (29 career RBs), Ty Chandler (Six chances in his rookie season, but looked solid in the first week of the preseason) and Dewan McBride (The rookie from the seventh round). The potential for Matteson to outpace the ADP during a healthy season is enormous. – Noonan

David Montgomery does – at least – fill in Jamal Williams A role in Detroit, one that saw the former Lions goal-line weapon score an astonishing 14 touchdowns from inside the opponent’s five-yard line last season, on his way to 17 rushing runs in total. Although we can spot some natural gradient to fall into this category – especially when we take into account the fact that it is Amun-Ra St. Brown He was within the five yard line Seven times – the early role behind a league The best offensive lines It will still produce plenty of opportunities for results.

The Lions spent the twelfth overall selection on Jahmir Gibbs During the NFL Draft, so they’re going to want to use him wide, but there’s no reason to think both members of this backfield can’t get along. Gibbs in the backfield severely put an end to Montgomery’s target quota, but the former Bears running back has had 51 total goals and 40 over the past two seasons on offenses that have historically been averse to passing the ball. You don’t have to stare so hard to see Montgomery return to the top 20 as an eighth-round pick (74.4 ADP). – Noonan

Christian Watson has his critics, but I love his role on this Packers offense and how he’s been used over the long haul. He struggled with injuries last season along with the veteran quarterback’s confidence, however From the tenth week onwardsHowever, Watson demonstrated a true WR1 profile in fantasy, scoring 17.2 fantasy points per game for a target share of 27%. His 41% air yards on that stretch helped him show great playing ability that I think we’ll see more of in year two.

Watson will probably show some downward slope going into his sophomore season, but I’m buying any player who can earn goals in the 27% clip as a junior while also displaying 2.48 yards per pass (YPRR) along the way. Green Bay’s entire pass-catching team is made up of first- and second-year players, so Watson will get every opportunity to be Jordan lovePrimary weapon. Even in projects that could be considered first attack, Watson’s stranglehold on a massive target share seems repeatable. – Edwards

I’m really surprised to see Nico Collins still out of the top 60 at wide receiver on Yahoo. My WR44, Collins is set up to be a top pass-catching choice for the Texans this season, and the competition behind him lacks the upside to challenge him for first place in the high-value goal selection standings. His end zone target share of 35.3% ranked 13th in the league last season and with Brandine cooks In Dallas, there is a path to a huge surge in playing time this season.

Collins only ran a path on 68.4% of Houston’s pass attempts last season, and hit a touchdown on 25% of those approaches, an encouraging sign. If he can push his participation to 75-80%, while maintaining his goal and North air yards share 30%, he would outperform his current draft slot of 131.0 overall. – Edwards

Sticking with the theme of young players with tracks beyond his current ADP (131.7), rookie Sam LaPorta should find himself with early playing time. Lions’ beat writer Tim Twentyman predicted that the tight end would have a “huge role” in the offense Starting from the first week After watching him take over the first team reps “from day one”. The head coach was Dan Campbell he sings his praises Since spring and beat reporter Colton Ponce, Laporta has been called “the most talented TE on the roster”, going on to say “Pass every test. “

Unofficial hype pieces aside, there’s plenty of reason to believe TE’s First Lions will equal fantasy goodness. For a team that put together a tight touchdown record despite trading away TJ Hawkinson Mid-season, fantasy directors are expected to be excited about the rookie’s fantasy prospects. The tight ends scored nine touchdowns for Detroit after Hockenson’s trade led the entire NFL, notably scoring higher than the Chiefs (seven) and 49ers (seven), two teams with all-star options at center. – Edwards

the Full versions of these topical articles were originally run 4 vs 4: QBs | RBs | WRs | TEs

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